News - Gordon Brown’s tough year

The Chancellor of the Exchequer has finally admitted what many of his opponents have been saying for some time.

In yesterday’s pre-budget report to the House of Commons, Gordon Brown conceded that the British economy is having a tough year.

It’ll only grow at half the rate he predicted in March - which means he’ll either need to raise taxes or cut spending to meet the gap.

So, has the Chancellor’s run of good luck come skidding to a halt?

  • This morning on Breakfast:

  • We talked live to the Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown
  • We heard from his Tory opposite number, Shadow Chancellor George Osborne. He’s also the campaign manager for David Cameron, who’s expected today to become the new leader of the Conservative Party.
  • We also got some tips for the new Conservative leader from one of his predecessors, Iain Duncan Smith

    More details from BBC News online’s political specialists


    The chancellor has doubled North Sea oil profits tax, frozen fuel duty and promised help for both pensioners and first time buyers.

    Despite that, he says the economy is stable and will improve soon.


    Shadow chancellor George Osborne said Mr Brown had been “humiliated” into”admitting he got it all wrong”.


    Borrowing


    In his pre-Budget report speech, Mr Brown told MPs employment had grown and inflation remained low, and predicted economic growth of 2-2.5% next year and 2.75-3.25% in 2007.

    KEY MEASURES
    Growth forecast halved to 1.75%
    Borrowing 5bn higher
    2bn a year tax on North Sea oil profits
    Proposed new tax on land sale profits
    Extending the economic cycle by further two years
    More ’shared equity’ schemes for first time buyers
    Duty on petrol and diesel frozen
    Pensioners’ 200 winter fuel payment extended for the rest of the current Parliament. Over 80s to get 300
    135m extra for counter-terrorism
    580m extra for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan
    Unclaimed bank assets used to fund youth projects
    Pre-Budget at-a-glance


    Mr Brown said: “This year we have seen… growth even in this toughest year at 1.75%, the 34th quarter of continued growth with low inflation”.


    Opposition MPs jeered at this stage to highlight the contrast with his Budget in March when Mr Brown forecast growth of 3% to 3.5% for this year and 2.5% to 3% percent next year.


    The report revealed government borrowing this year would be 5bn higher than predicted in March - at 37bn this year - before falling in successive years to 34bn, 31bn, then 26bn, 23bn and then 22bn.


    Mr Brown said the government would meet its fiscal rules over the current economic cycle with 16bn to spare, although economists say that is only because the economic cycle’s start and end points have been changed.


    Housing


    Supporting documents also suggest the chancellor is working on the basis that public spending will increase at 1.9% in 2008, 2009 and 2010 - below the expected level of growth of the economy.

    PRE-BUDGET REPORT IN FULL
    Report in full (2.03MB)
    All pre-Budget report documents
    Most computers will open PDF documents automatically, but you may need to download Adobe Acrobat Reader.
    Download the reader here


    In a series of measures designed to boost the housing market, Mr Brown announced the extension of shared ownership schemes for first time buyers and said local authorities would be forced to accelerate planning consent and bring forward brownfield sites for development.


    He also announced a on “planning gain” tax, which would allow local authorities to grab a slice of the profits made by developers who sell land after getting planning permission on it.


    North Sea


    He extended the 200 winter fuel payment to the rest of this Parliament and said people in England on the pensions credit will be given free of central heating. Other pensioners will receive 300 towards the cost.


    A chancellor past his sell by date, a chancellor holding Britain back
    George Osborne
    Shadow chancellor
    Tory Party response
    Tories: Brown’s a roadblock


    He announced a doubling of tax on North Sea oil profits - a measure expected to raise 2bn a year.


    Mr Brown pledged an extra 135m for security and counter-terrorism and an extra 580m for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.


    ‘Tragic story’


    In his response, Mr Osborne, a key ally of Tory leadership favourite David Cameron, denounced Mr Brown as “a chancellor past his sell by date, a chancellor holding Britain back”.


    Why can he not stand up and acknowledge his own failures?
    Vincent Cable
    Liberal Democrats
    Lib Dem response
    Brown urged to learn humility


    “This is the tragic story of a chancellor who has been forced to wait so long to got to number 10 that his reputation in charge of Number 11 is crumbling”, Mr Osborne told MPs.


    He accused the chancellor of misleading the public at the general election over his growth forecasts.


    “What he told the electorate at the time of the election about the state of the economy was not true and it is difficult to believe that he didn’t know it at the time,” Mr Osborne told MPs.


    Vincent Cable, for the Liberal Democrats, said the chancellor needed to learn “humility”.


    Rather than acknowledging the economy was in trouble for wholly domestic reasons, Mr Cable said Mr Brown had “tried to blag his way through it by blaming the problems on the oil producers and slow growing Europe. And he knows this is complete nonsense.”


    Mr Cable added: “Why can he not stand up and acknowledge his own failures?”

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